Recently I started investing in bitcoins and I’ve heard a great deal of talks about inflation and deflation but not lots of people actually know and think about what inflation and deflation are. But let’s focus on inflation.
We always needed a way to trade value and the most practical way to do it would be to link it with money. Before it worked quite well as the money that was issued was linked to gold. So every central bank had to have enough gold to pay back all of the money it issued. However, before century this changed and gold isn’t what’s giving value to money but promises. As you can guess it’s very an easy task to abuse to such power and certainly the major central banks are not renouncing to do so. That is why they are printing money, so quite simply they’re “creating wealth” out of nothing without really having it. This technique not only exposes us to risks of economic collapse but it results also with the de-valuation of money. Therefore, because money will probably be worth less, whoever is selling something must increase the price of goods to reflect their real value, that is called inflation. But what’s behind the amount of money printing? Why are central banks doing so? Well the answer they would offer you is that by de-valuing their currency they are helping the exports.
In fairness, inside our global economy that is true. However, that is not the only reason. By issuing fresh money we are able to afford to pay back the debts we’d, basically we make new debts to pay the old ones. But that’s not only it, by de-valuing our currencies we are de-facto de-valuing our debts. That is why our countries love inflation. In inflationary environments it’s simpler to grow because debts are cheap. But what are the consequences of all this? Bitcoin Revolution Official to store wealth. If you keep the money (you worked hard to obtain) in your bank account you’re actually losing wealth because your money is de-valuing pretty quickly.
Because each central bank comes with an inflation target at around 2% we are able to well say that keeping money costs most of us at least 2% per year. This discourages savers and spur consumes. This is one way our economies are working, based on inflation and debts.
What about deflation? Well this is exactly the opposite of inflation and it is the biggest nightmare for our central banks, let’s understand why. Basically, we’ve deflation when overall the costs of goods fall. This would be caused by a rise of value of money. For starters, it would hurt spending as consumers will undoubtedly be incentivised to save lots of money because their value will increase overtime. However merchants will be under constant pressure. They’ll need to sell their goods quick otherwise they will lose money as the price they will charge because of their services will drop over time. But when there is something we learned in these years is that central banks and governments usually do not care much about consumers or merchants, what they care the most is DEBT!!. In a deflationary environment debt will become a real burden since it will only get bigger as time passes. Because our economies are based on debt you can imagine what will be the consequences of deflation.
So to summarize, inflation is growth friendly but is based on debt. Therefore the future generations can pay our debts. Deflation alternatively makes growth harder but it means that future generations won’t have much debt to pay (in such context it would be possible to cover slow growth).
OK so how all this fits with bitcoins?
Well, bitcoins are made to be an alternative for money also to be both a store of value and a mean for trading goods. They’re limited in number and we’ll never have a lot more than 21 million bitcoins around. Therefore they are designed to be deflationary. We now have all seen what the results of deflation are. However, in a bitcoin-based future it could still be easy for businesses to thrive. The ideal solution will be to switch from a debt-based economy to a share-based economy. In fact, because contracting debts in bitcoins will be very expensive business can still obtain the capital they need by issuing shares of these company. This could be an interesting alternative as it will offer you many investment opportunities and the wealth generated will undoubtedly be distributed more evenly among people. However, just for clarity, I must say that part of the costs of borrowing capital will be reduced under bitcoins as the fees would be extremely low and there won’t be intermediaries between transactions (banks rip people off, both borrowers and lenders). This might buffer a number of the negative sides of deflation. Nevertheless, bitcoins will face many problems unfortunately, as governments still need fiat money to cover back the huge debts that we inherited from days gone by generations.